Saints vs. Falcons Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4
Published 3:36 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024
On Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET, the Atlanta Falcons will face the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Our computer model projects a win for the Saints — see below for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.
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The Falcons rank 20th in total offense (307.3 yards per game) and 18th in total defense (326.7 yards allowed per game) this year. Things have been going well for the Saints on both offense and defense, as they are putting up 34.3 points per game (second-best) and allowing just 14.7 points per game (fifth-best).
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Saints vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Saints (+3) | Over (41) | Saints 22, Falcons 21 |
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Saints Betting Info
- The Saints have a 43.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- New Orleans has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
- The Saints have won their only game this year when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
- This year, games featuring New Orleans have hit the over twice.
- The average total for Saints games is 46 points, five more than this game’s over/under.
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Falcons Betting Info
- The Falcons have a 60.8% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
- Atlanta has covered once in three chances against the spread this season.
- The Falcons have been favored by 3 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
- Atlanta and its opponent have not hit the over yet this season.
- Falcons games have had an average of 45.2 points this season, 4.2 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
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Saints vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 16.3 | 20.3 | 13.5 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| Saints | 34.3 | 14.7 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 44 | 19 |
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