Saints vs. Browns Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 11

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024

Our computer model projects a victory for the New Orleans Saints when they play the Cleveland Browns at Caesars Superdome on Sunday, Nov. 17 at 1 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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Despite sporting a bottom-five defense that ranks fifth-worst in the NFL (385.6 yards allowed per game), the Saints have had more success offensively, ranking 16th in the NFL by totaling 334.8 yards per game. The Browns have not been getting things done offensively, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL with 16.4 points per game. They have been more productive defensively, surrendering 23.7 points per contest (21st-ranked).

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Saints vs. Browns Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (-1) Toss Up (44.5) Saints 25, Browns 18

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Saints Betting Info

  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Saints’ implied win probability is 52.4%.
  • New Orleans has covered the spread four times in 10 games this season.
  • The Saints have covered the spread once when favored by 1 point or more this season (in three opportunities).
  • So far this season, six of New Orleans’ 10 games have hit the over.
  • The over/under in this game is 44.5 points, 1.0 higher than the average total in Saints games this season.

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Browns Betting Info

  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Browns have a 52.4% chance to win.
  • Cleveland has covered three times in nine matchups with a spread this year.
  • When playing as at least 1-point underdogs this year, the Browns have an ATS record of 3-3.
  • Cleveland and its opponent have combined to go over the point total three out of nine times this season.
  • The over/under for this game is 3.1 points higher than the average scoring total for Browns games (41.4).

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Saints vs. Browns 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Saints 22.7 24.6 23.2 25.2 22.2 24.0
Browns 16.4 23.7 17.0 25.2 15.8 21.8

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