Saints vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 18

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, January 4, 2025

A win by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers over the New Orleans Saints is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming matchup, on Sunday, Jan. 5 at 1 p.m. ET (at Raymond James Stadium). For a full breakdown, including the spread, over/under and final score, keep scrolling.

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The Buccaneers rank 21st in total defense this year (344.9 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best in the NFL with 399.8 total yards per game. The Saints are generating 19.9 points per contest on offense this season (23rd-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 23.2 points per game (18th-ranked) on defense.

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Saints vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Buccaneers (-14) Over (45) Buccaneers 33, Saints 14

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Saints Betting Info

  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Saints have a 13.3% chance to win.
  • New Orleans has put together a 6-10-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • The Saints have not covered the spread this year (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 14-point underdogs.
  • In New Orleans’ 16 contests this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total seven times.
  • Games involving the Saints this year have averaged 43.3 points per game, a 1.7-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Buccaneers’ implied win probability is 90.9%.
  • Tampa Bay is 10-6-0 ATS this season.
  • A total of 11 out of 16 Tampa Bay games this season have gone over the point total.
  • The total for this game is 45, 0.5 points fewer than the average total in Buccaneers games thus far this season (postseason included).

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Saints vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Buccaneers 29.7 22.9 28.8 23 30.6 22.8
Saints 19.9 23.2 21.6 22.9 17.9 23.6

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