Southern vs. Alcorn State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 1

Published 11:14 pm Friday, January 31, 2025

Saturday’s game that pits the Southern Jaguars (12-8, 7-0 SWAC) versus the Alcorn State Braves (4-16, 4-3 SWAC) at F.G. Clark Activity Center has a good chance to be a lopsided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 75-65 in favor of Southern, who is big favorites by our model. Game time is at 6:00 PM ET on February 1.

According to our computer prediction, Alcorn State is a good bet to cover the point spread, which currently sits at 11.5. The two sides are projected to exceed the 132.5 over/under.

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Southern vs. Alcorn State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, February 1, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV: SWAC Digital Network
  • Where: Baton Rouge, Louisiana
  • Venue: F.G. Clark Activity Center
  • Line: Southern -11.5
  • Point total: 132.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Southern -752, Alcorn State +490

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Southern vs. Alcorn State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Southern 75, Alcorn State 65

Spread & Total Prediction for Southern vs. Alcorn State

  • Pick ATS: Alcorn State (+11.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (132.5)

Southern has compiled a 9-7-0 record against the spread this season, while Alcorn State is 11-8-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Jaguars are 5-11-0 and the Braves are 8-11-0. The two teams score 138 points per game, 5.5 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 games, Southern has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. Alcorn State has gone 7-3 against the spread and 4-6 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Southern Performance Insights

  • The Jaguars outscore opponents by 7.4 points per game (scoring 75.8 points per game to rank 149th in college basketball while allowing 68.4 per outing to rank 86th in college basketball) and have a +149 scoring differential overall.
  • Southern pulls down 34.7 rebounds per game (62nd in college basketball) while conceding 30.0 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.7 boards per game.
  • Southern knocks down 6.8 three-pointers per game (277th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.8. It shoots 31.5% from deep while its opponents hit 35.1% from long range.
  • The Jaguars rank 226th in college basketball by averaging 93.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 27th in college basketball, allowing 84.6 points per 100 possessions.
  • Southern has committed 3.1 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 12.3 (268th in college basketball action) while forcing 15.4 (ninth in college basketball).

Alcorn State Performance Insights

  • The Braves’ -282 scoring differential (being outscored by 14.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 62.2 points per game (361st in college basketball) while giving up 76.3 per outing (303rd in college basketball).
  • Alcorn State pulls down 30.7 rebounds per game (282nd in college basketball) while conceding 33.1 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 2.4 boards per game.
  • Alcorn State makes 5.8 three-pointers per game (344th in college basketball) at a 32.4% rate (262nd in college basketball), compared to the 9.6 per contest its opponents make, shooting 34.3% from deep.
  • Alcorn State has typically lost the turnover battle this season, committing 13.3 per game (328th in college basketball) while forcing 11.5 (197th in college basketball).

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