Saturday’s contest that pits the Alcorn State Braves (5-17, 5-4 SWAC) versus the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (4-18, 1-8 SWAC) at Davey L. Whitney Complex should be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 81-69 in favor of Alcorn State, who is heavily favored by our model. Tipoff is at 4:00 PM ET on February 8.

Based on our computer prediction, Alcorn State is projected to cover the point spread (9.5) against UAPB. The two sides are projected to go over the 146.5 over/under.

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Alcorn State vs. UAPB Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 8, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Lorman, Mississippi
• Venue: Davey L. Whitney Complex
• Line: Alcorn State -9.5
• Point total: 146.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alcorn State -500, UAPB +360

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Alcorn State vs. UAPB Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alcorn State 81, UAPB 69

Spread & Total Prediction for Alcorn State vs. UAPB

• Pick ATS: Alcorn State (-9.5)
• Pick OU: Over (146.5)

Alcorn State’s record against the spread so far this season is 13-8-0, and UAPB’s is 9-11-0. The Braves are 9-12-0 and the Golden Lions are 13-7-0 in terms of hitting the over. The teams score 136.7 points per game combined, 9.8 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. Alcorn State is 7-3 against the spread and 5-5 overall over its last 10 contests, while UAPB has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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Alcorn State Performance Insights

• The Braves have a -280 scoring differential, falling short by 12.7 points per game. They’re putting up 62.4 points per game to rank 361st in college basketball and are allowing 75.1 per outing to rank 280th in college basketball.
• Alcorn State is 257th in the country at 31 rebounds per game. That’s 1.3 fewer than the 32.3 its opponents average.
• Alcorn State connects on 6 three-pointers per game (334th in college basketball) while shooting 33.2% from beyond the arc (223rd in college basketball). It is making 3.2 fewer threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 9.2 per game while shooting 33.7%.
• The Braves average 81.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (361st in college basketball), and allow 97.7 points per 100 possessions (307th in college basketball).
• Alcorn State loses the turnover battle by 2.3 per game, committing 13.6 (336th in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.3.

UAPB Performance Insights

• The Golden Lions’ -301 scoring differential (being outscored by 13.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 74.3 points per game (184th in college basketball) while giving up 88 per outing (364th in college basketball).
• The 30.8 rebounds per game UAPB accumulates rank 269th in the nation, 4.8 fewer than the 35.6 its opponents pull down.
• UAPB connects on 7.5 three-pointers per game (202nd in college basketball), 2.4 fewer than its opponents.
• UAPB has committed 2.9 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 14.6 (354th in college basketball) while forcing 11.7 (169th in college basketball).

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