NBA Best Bets: Mavericks vs. Pelicans Picks for February 21
Published 3:34 pm Friday, February 21, 2025
The New Orleans Pelicans (13-42) are underdogs (by 5.5 points) to end a seven-game road losing streak when they visit the Dallas Mavericks (30-26) on Friday, February 21, 2025 at 8:30 PM ET.
Prior to making a wager on this matchup, check out the best bets available on Friday according to our computer predictions.
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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Game Info
- When: Friday, February 21, 2025 at 8:30 PM ET
- Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
- TV: KFAA and Gulf Coast Sports
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Best Bets
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Kyrie Irving Over 27.5 PTS
- The 27.5-point total set for Kyrie Irving on Friday is 2.9 more points than his per-game scoring average.
- Irving has gone up against a points prop bet in 44 games this season, and he’s exceeded the total 23 times.
- The Mavericks are the NBA’s 11th-ranked scoring squad (115.7 points per game), while the Pelicans are 27th in points conceded (119.4 per game).
- Dallas has a 17-5 record when finishing with more points than 119.4.
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Trey Murphy III Over 22.5 PTS
- Trey Murphy III’s 22.4 points per game are 0.1 fewer than Friday’s over/under.
- Murphy has had a points prop in 38 games this season, and has gone over 23 times.
- The 22nd-ranked scoring NBA team (110.6 points per game) is New Orleans, while Dallas ranks 17th in the league defensively (113.5 conceded per game).
- New Orleans is 10-10 when scoring more points than 113.5.
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Pick ATS: Mavericks (- 5.5)
- Dallas has 30 wins in 56 games against the spread this season.
- New Orleans has beaten the spread 23 times in 55 games.
- The Mavericks have an ATS record of 10-6 as 5.5-point favorites or greater.
- The Pelicans have an ATS record of 12-19 as 5.5-point underdogs or greater.
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Pick OU:
Under (237.5)
- In 19 games this season, the Mavericks and their opponents have gone over 237.5 total points.
- Pelicans games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 237.5 points in 19 of 55 outings.
- The average total in Dallas’ outings this year is 228, 9.5 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
- New Orleans has had an average of 226.8 points scored in its games so far this season, 10.7 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
- The Pelicans are the league’s 21st-highest scoring team this season compared to the eighth-ranked Mavericks.
- The Pelicans have surrendered the 27th-fewest points in the league this season, while the Mavericks have given up the 20th-fewest.
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Moneyline Pick: Mavericks (-220)
- The Mavericks have won 18, or 66.7%, of the 27 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- The Pelicans have won in six, or 15%, of the 40 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
- Dallas has a record of 12-3, a 80% win rate, when it’s favored by -220 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- This year, New Orleans has won two of 31 games when listed as at least +180 or better on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.8% chance of a victory for the Mavericks.
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