Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Monday Night Football Week 5

Published 7:37 pm Sunday, October 6, 2024

According to our computer model, the Kansas City Chiefs will beat the New Orleans Saints when they play at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, Oct. 7 (at 8:15 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.

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The Chiefs are putting up 23 points per game on offense, which ranks them 15th in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank eighth, giving up 18 points per game. The Saints are putting up 349 total yards per contest on offense this season (12th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 330.3 total yards per game (16th-ranked).

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Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Toss Up (Spread: Chiefs by 5.5) Over (43) Chiefs 26, Saints 19

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Saints Betting Info

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 33.3% chance of a victory for the Saints.
  • New Orleans has compiled a 3-1-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • The Saints have won their only game this season when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
  • In New Orleans’ four contests this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
  • The average total for Saints games is 44.9 points, 1.9 more than this game’s over/under.

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Chiefs Betting Info

  • The Chiefs have an implied moneyline win probability of 71.4% in this game.
  • Kansas City has a record of 2-1-1 against the spread this season.
  • The Chiefs have not covered the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
  • This season, games featuring the Chiefs have hit the over twice.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 43 points, 2.4 fewer than the average total in this season’s Chiefs contests (playoffs included).

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Saints vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Chiefs 23 18 26.5 22.5 19.5 13.5
Saints 31.8 17.5 29.5 12.5 34 22.5

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