Our computer model predicts a victory for the New Orleans Saints when they meet the Denver Broncos at Caesars Superdome on Thursday, Oct. 17 at 8:15 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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The Broncos rank 25th in points scored this season (18.7 points per game), but they’ve been thriving on defense, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 16 points allowed per game. The Saints rank 18th in total yards per game (319.8), but they’ve been worse defensively, ranking worst in the NFL with 395.8 total yards allowed per contest.

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Saints vs. Broncos Predictions and Picks

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Saints Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 45.5%.
• New Orleans has won three games against the spread this season, failing to cover three times.
• The Saints have been an underdog by 2.5 points or more four times this year, and covered the spread in two of those games.
• In 2024, four New Orleans games have gone over the point total.
• The average total points scored in Saints games (playoffs included) this year (37) is 7.2 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Broncos Betting Info

• The Broncos have a 59.2% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Denver has put together a 4-2-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Broncos have covered the spread when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites in their only opportunity this season.
• In Denver’s six games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
• The over/under in this matchup is 37 points, 1.5 fewer than the average total in this season’s Broncos contests (playoffs included).

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Saints vs. Broncos 2024 Scoring Insights

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